Happy 79th Birthday, Social Security!
Social Security marks its 79th birthday tomorrow. This highly successful program pays benefits to more than 58 million Americans. It’s the single most important source of income for its elderly beneficiaries, contributing on average two-thirds of income for recipients over age 65. For more than one-third of them, Social Security constitutes at least 90 percent of income (see graph).
Reliance on Social Security is especially high among the oldest — those who can no longer work and may have outlived their savings — and elderly blacks and Hispanics. Without Social Security, nearly half of elderly Americans would live below the official poverty line; instead, fewer than 10 percent do.
But Social Security isn’t just for the elderly. It protects workers who suffer a severe medical impairment and children whose breadwinner dies, retires, or becomes disabled. We estimate that in 2012 — the latest year for which we have data — it lifted more than 22 million Americans of all ages above the official poverty line (see table).
Social Security benefits are modest. The average retired worker or elderly widow collects only $1,300 a month, and disabled workers even less. Nobody gets rich from Social Security: only 10 percent of retired workers get more than $2,000 a month (and fewer than 2 percent get more than $2,500). Social Security benefits are low by international standards, too.
With the continued decline of the traditional defined-benefit pension, Social Security is the only retirement income most Americans will collect that’s indexed to inflation and guaranteed to last as long as they live. And because it’s not means-tested, Social Security encourages people to supplement their retirement income by working part-time or by saving money.
Social Security faces a long-term shortfall that’s predictable and manageable, as our new paper on the trustees’ latest annual report explains. Those who fear that Social Security won’t be around when today’s young workers retire misunderstand the trustees’ projections. Even if policymakers did nothing, the program could still pay three-quarters of scheduled benefits after the trust funds run out in 2033.
Of course, policymakers should act well before then to place this extremely popular program (see here and here) on a sound long-term footing. The best proposals would protect vulnerable workers and beneficiaries and give all participants ample notice of future changes. A well-crafted package would also make targeted improvements to Supplemental Security Income, which is distinct from Social Security but has important overlaps.
Social Security is the most effective and successful income-security program in the nation’s history. The President and Congress should design reforms judiciously so that it remains that way.